Yield curve, 10-year minus 3-month
Now 0.78 (Oct 23, 2026), before 0.74, a year ago 0.06.
How to read it
The curve the New York Fed uses in its recession-probability model. Read like the 10-year minus 2-year.
Source: FRED ยท daily
Now 0.78 (Oct 23, 2026), before 0.74, a year ago 0.06.
The curve the New York Fed uses in its recession-probability model. Read like the 10-year minus 2-year.
Source: FRED ยท daily